Friday, May 29, 2009

Home Sales Increase

Home Sales Jump
Existing-home sales rose in April with strong buyer activity in lower price ranges, according to the NATIONAL ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS®.

In Utah County we saw home sales go from 361 in March to 385 in April. As of today there are 516 homes under contract in Utah County!!

Existing-home sales — including single-family, townhomes, condominiums and co-ops — increased 2.9 percent to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 4.68 million units in April from a downwardly revised pace of 4.55 million units in March. Yet, home sales were 3.5 percent below the 4.85 million-unit level in April 2008, according to NAR.

Lawrence Yun, NAR chief economist, says first-time buyers continue to influence the market but there also is a seasonal rise of repeat buyers.

“Most of the sales are taking place in lower price ranges and activity is beginning to pickup in the midprice ranges, but high-end home sales remain sluggish,” he says. “The Federal Reserve needs to help restore liquidity for the jumbo mortgage market by buying these loans under the TALF program.”

Buyers Once Again Emerge

An NAR practitioner survey in April showed first-time buyers declined to 40 percent of transactions, implying more repeat buyers are entering the traditional spring home-buying season. It also showed the number of buyers looking at homes has increased 14 percentage points from a year ago.

“This is consistent with our forecast for home sales in the latter part of the year to be 10 to 20 percent higher than the second half of 2008,” Yun says.

It's critical that distressed homes be quickly cleared from the market, Yun says.

“Fortunately, home buyers are being attracted to deeply discounted prices and are bidding up many foreclosed listings, particularly in California, Nevada, and Florida — this will set the stage for healthy market conditions going forward,” Yun says.

NAR President Charles McMillan says conditions are optimal for buyers with good jobs and long-term plans.

“We have record low mortgage interest rates, a wide selection of homes and affordable prices in most areas,” he says. “When you add the $8,000 first-time buyer tax credit, it’s hard to imagine a better time to make an investment in your future through homeownership.”

Saturday, May 23, 2009

Housing is more affordable!

National Association of Realtors Announces Housing Affordability Highest in 18 Years

This is one of the best times to purchase a home in decades. This week the National Association of Realtors underscored that fact with the release that nationwide housing affordability jumped 10 percentage points during the first quarter of 2009 to its highest level since the series began 18 years ago, according to the National Association of Home Builders/Wells Fargo Housing Opportunity Index (HOI). The HOI showed that 72.5% of all new and existing homes sold in the first quarter of 2009 were affordable to families earning the national median income of $64,000, up from 62.4% during the previous quarter and up from 53.8% during the first quarter of 2008.

Locally, the story is similar. In the Ogden-Clearfield area, 74.4% of all new and existing homes sold in the first quarter of 2009 were affordable to families earning the area’s median income of $68,500. That’s up 5% from the previous quarter and up 13% from the same period a year ago.

In Provo-Orem, 65.3% of all homes sold were affordable to families earning the median income of $62,900. That’s up 12% from the previous quarter and up 21% from the same period a year ago.

In Salt Lake, 65.9% of all homes sold were affordable to families earning the median income of $67,800. That’s up 7% from the previous quarter and up almost 20% from the same period a year ago.

Thursday, May 14, 2009

FHA Appraisal Tips

The following are excerpts from HUD Mortgagee Letter 2005-ML-48 regarding repair and inspection requirements.

FHA Repair Requirements: Below are examples of minor property conditions that no longer require automatic repair for existing properties include, but are not limited to:

* Missing handrails * Cracked or damaged exit doors that are otherwise operable * Cracked window glass * Defective paint surfaces in homes constructed post 1978 * Minor plumbing leaks (such as leaky faucets) * Defective floor finish or covering (worn through the finish, badly soiled carpeting) * Evidence of previous (non-active) Wood Destroying Insect/Organism damage where there is no evidence of unrepaired structural damage * Rotten or worn out counter tops * Damaged plaster, sheetrock or other wall and ceiling materials in homes constructed post- 1978 * Poor workmanship * Trip hazards (cracked or partially heaving sidewalks, poorly installed carpeting) * Crawl space with debris and trash * Lack of an all weather driveway surface

Below are examples of property conditions that may represent a risk to the health and safety of the occupants or the soundness of the property for which FHA will continue to require automatic repair for existing properties include, but are not limited to:

* Inadequate access/egress from bedrooms to exterior of home * Leaking or worn out roofs (if 3 or more layers of shingles on leaking or worn out roof, all existing shingles must be removed before re-roofing) * Evidence of structural problems (such as foundation damage caused by excessive settlement) * Defective paint surfaces in homes constructed pre-1978 * Defective exterior paint surfaces in home constructed post-1978 where the finish is otherwise unprotected * Exposed sub-flooring, missing carpet, vinyl, tile floors

FHA Inspection Requirements: FHA no longer mandates automatic inspections for the following items and/or conditions in existing properties:

* Wood Destroying Insects/Organisms: inspection required only if evidence of active infestation, mandated by the state or local jurisdiction, if customary to area, or at lender's discretion * Well (individual water system): test or inspection required if mandated by state or local jurisdiction; if there is knowledge that well water may be contaminated; when the water supply relies upon a water purification system due to presence of contaminants; or when there is evidence of: Corrosion of pipes (plumbing)Areas of intensive agriculture within 1/4 mile Coal mining or gas drilling operations within 1/4 mile Dump, junkyard, landfill, factory, gas station, or dry cleaning operation within 1/4 mile Unusually objectionable taste, smell or appearance of well water (superceding the guidance in Mortgagee Letter 95-34 that requires well water testing in the absence of local or state regulations) * Septic: test or inspection required only if evidence of system failure, if mandated by state or local jurisdiction, if customary to the area, or at lender's discretion * Flat and/or unobservable roof

FHA Appraisal Requirements: Appraisers are to recommend only those repairs necessary to make the property comply with FHA’s Minimum Property Requirements (MPR) or Minimum Property Standards (MPS) together with the estimated cost to cure. Recommended repairs are based on a visual inspection of readily observable items only.

Cosmetic repairs are not required; however, they are to be considered in the overall condition rating and valuation of the property. Examples of cosmetic repairs would include surface treatments, beautification or adornment not required for the preservation of the property. For example, generally, worn floor finishes or carpeting, holes in window screens, or a small crack in a windowpane are examples of deferred maintenance that do not rise to the level of a required repair but must be reported by the appraiser. The physical condition of existing building improvements is examined at the time of the appraisal to determine whether repairs, alterations or inspections are necessary - essential to eliminate conditions threatening the continued physical security of the property.

Required repairs will be limited to necessary requirements to:

protect the health and safety of the occupants (Safety)

protect the security of the property (Security)

correct physical deficiencies or conditions affecting structural integrity (Soundness)

Tuesday, May 12, 2009

Good News for Utah

Good News for Utah


Three of Utah's metro areas were included in the top-ten fastest growing metropolitan areas in a report released by the Census Bureau this month. The Provo-Orem, Logan, and St. George metro areas all made the top-ten list. The reports list 363 metropolitan areas throughout the nation.

The Provo-Orem metro area saw population growth of 3.4 percent, which was the sixth highest in the nation. The Logan metro area ranked ninth nationally with a 3.2 percent increase, and coming in at number ten was the St. George metro area with a 3.1 percent increase.

While the bulk of Utah's population growth came via natural growth, which is the difference between births and deaths in a year, one-third of Utah's growth came from in-migration from outside the state. This is an indication of Utah's overall economic strength.

Although the economy has slowed down, Utah is still outperforming most of the nation and is maintaining a substantially lower unemployment rate. This would indicate that we will still continue to see an increase in net in-migration to the state. "Business leaders and individuals, even internationally, are recognizing the long term trends in Utah. The state is being recognized as a long term 'hot spot' and companies must plan for the long-term; they want stability and security," says, Pam Perlich senior research economist at the University of Utah.

Saturday, May 9, 2009

Homes Get Multiple Offers

The real estate sector of our economy continues to show some positive signs—a good symbol that the programs that the government has put in place are helping. USA Today reported earlier this week that “More homes for sale are attracting multiple offers as buyers pursue lower-price homes and banks low-ball asking prices to attract competing bids on foreclosures.” It’s exactly what we’ve seen locally in Utah County. The first time, entry level home buyer market is fueling this recovery. It’s something we certainly forecasted and it’s finally coming to fruition. Now, we’re seeing, in many markets, multiple offers on starter homes and even some frustrated buyers who are scratching their heads and wondering what happened to the buyer’s market. We warned that the change could come before we knew it and in some price ranges, it might’ve already come and went.

Here is a clip from the news article:
By Julie Schmit, USA TODAY
More homes for sale are attracting multiple offers as buyers pursue lower-price homes and banks low-ball asking prices to attract competing bids on foreclosures.
Multiple bids have picked up in recent months in California and other states hit hard by foreclosures and steep price drops, real estate executives say.

"If a house is in a good neighborhood, is maintained and is a good value, it'll get multiple offers," says Julie Holt, owner of Anclote Title Services in Tarpon Springs, Fla. One in 10 homes now draw multiple offers, up from one in 30 last fall, she says.

Multiple bids usually signify a market in which prices are rising and buyers outnumber sellers. That's not true now, given rampant foreclosures, still-falling prices in many regions and low demand for higher-price homes. Multiple offers on distressed properties are also not new, but their recent frequency offers hope for the real estate market, says Beth Peerce, treasurer of the California Association of Realtors (CAR).

"When you begin to see people willing to fight for a property, that's a good sign," she says. "We are beginning to see the beginning of the end of a disaster time."

Friday, May 1, 2009

End Is Near

“The End is Near”

Well we’ve certainly seen some interesting twists in the market over the last week. Nationally, new mortgage applications for home purchases and refinancings were up 77 percent from the same week in April 2008.

Mortgage rates continue to average well below 5 percent – 4.7 percent last week on average for 30-year fixed rate loans and 4.5 percent for 15 year loans. Rates like these are a major factor pushing applications.

Nearly 600,000 home buyers have already claimed either the $7,500 tax credit from last year or the $8,000 credit for this year, according to IRS data cited by the National Association of Home Builders.

Also of interest, new home sales have been showing signs of improvement. Last week the Commerce Department reported that March sales were off just 0.6 percent, exceeding analysts’ expectations, after climbing in February.

In other positive trends, interestingly enough, The Wall Street Journal reported this week, “Analysts say: The end (of declines) is near. While new home sales show signs of stabilizing as builders cut back on building and boom-bloated inventories are slowly absorbed, prices of both new and existing homes are still being dragged down by a flood of foreclosures. Still, the experts were optimistic that the federal government's efforts to stem foreclosures eventually will have an effect by the end of this year or early next year; Mark Zandi, chief economist of Moody's Economy.com, even ventured (jokingly) a date when home prices would stop falling—December 15, 2009.”

It’s hard to know whether or not the sum of these indicators is equivalent to a recovery but my sense is that the end is near—if we haven’t already passed it here in Utah (some experts are even saying that we’ve already hit bottom and we’re in slow recovery mode). When the bottom has hit exactly is hard to predict but based on what I am seeing in our offices, based on the statistics that I am seeing on pendings and buyer interest/activity and based on the overall national recovery effort, it seems the prediction by many experts (in late 2008) that we would hit bottom by the middle of 2009 is probably not far off.

Now for those of you who are “timing” the market, I have to caution you on this. The only way you know that the market has hit bottom is when it is on its way up. While certainly housing is one of the biggest and most important investments we will make in our lifetime, it is also important to remember that our home is so much more than an investment. It is not a stock that we trade quickly. It is where we raise our family, where we create memories and where we plant our roots. So as you try to “time” the market, remember these key facts and make sure that beyond the investment, you are choosing a home that will bring you the happiness you deserve. Because in the end, that is what matters most. Choose the home that is right for you and your family right now and for years to come. Historically speaking, Utah real estate brings long-term investment gains for almost all homeowners so if you choose the home that is right for you, you almost can’t lose.